2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky
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Elections in Kentucky |
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Government |
The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Although Kentucky was won twice by Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican in history, and he swept counties across the state.[3] Clinton's performance was also the worst for any Democratic nominee in history. She carried only the state's two most urban and populous counties: Jefferson County, home to Louisville; and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. Kentucky was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.
Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election after West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, and North Dakota.[4] Most notably, Trump ended Elliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican since Warren G. Harding in 1920 to win the White House without carrying Fayette County.
Caucuses
Republican caucus
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.
In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.[5]
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 82,493 | 35.92% | 17 | 0 | 17 |
Ted Cruz | 72,503 | 31.57% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
Marco Rubio | 37,579 | 16.36% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
John Kasich | 33,134 | 14.43% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 1,951 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 872 | 0.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uncommitted | 496 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 305 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 174 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 65 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 64 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 31 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total: | 229,667 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
Source: The Green Papers, Republican Party of Kentucky |
Democratic primary
Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Hillary Clinton | 212,534 | 46.76% | 28 | 2 | 30 |
Bernie Sanders | 210,623 | 46.33% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 5,713 | 1.26% | |||
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 1,594 | 0.35% | |||
Uncommitted | 24,104 | 5.30% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Total | 454,568 | 100% | 55 | 5 | 60 |
Source: [6][7] |
General election
Polling
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Los Angeles Times[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
CNN[9] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
NBC[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
RealClearPolitics[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Fox News[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
ABC[14] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Donald Trump | 1,202,971 | 62.52% | |
Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 628,854 | 32.68% | |
Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 53,752 | 2.79% | |
Independent | Evan McMullin | 22,780 | 1.18% | |
Green | Jill Stein | 13,913 | 0.72% | |
Write-in | 1,879 | 0.10% | ||
Total votes | 1,924,149 | 100.00% |
By county
County | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Adair | 6,637 | 80.61% | 1,323 | 16.07% | 273 | 3.32% | 5,314 | 64.54% | 8,233 |
Allen | 6,466 | 79.87% | 1,349 | 16.66% | 281 | 3.47% | 5,117 | 63.21% | 8,096 |
Anderson | 8,242 | 72.16% | 2,634 | 23.06% | 546 | 4.78% | 5,608 | 49.10% | 11,422 |
Ballard | 3,161 | 77.08% | 816 | 19.90% | 124 | 3.02% | 2,345 | 57.18% | 4,101 |
Barren | 13,483 | 72.93% | 4,275 | 23.12% | 730 | 3.95% | 9,208 | 49.81% | 18,488 |
Bath | 3,082 | 67.19% | 1,361 | 29.67% | 144 | 3.14% | 1,721 | 37.52% | 4,587 |
Bell | 7,764 | 79.89% | 1,720 | 17.70% | 234 | 2.41% | 6,044 | 62.19% | 9,718 |
Boone | 39,082 | 67.83% | 15,026 | 26.08% | 3,510 | 6.09% | 24,056 | 41.75% | 57,618 |
Bourbon | 5,569 | 63.26% | 2,791 | 31.71% | 443 | 5.03% | 2,778 | 31.55% | 8,803 |
Boyd | 13,591 | 66.45% | 6,021 | 29.44% | 842 | 4.11% | 7,570 | 37.01% | 20,454 |
Boyle | 8,040 | 62.10% | 4,281 | 33.07% | 625 | 4.83% | 3,759 | 29.03% | 12,946 |
Bracken | 2,711 | 76.86% | 705 | 19.99% | 111 | 3.15% | 2,006 | 56.87% | 3,527 |
Breathitt | 3,991 | 69.55% | 1,537 | 26.79% | 210 | 3.66% | 2,454 | 42.76% | 5,738 |
Breckinridge | 6,484 | 73.90% | 1,960 | 22.34% | 330 | 3.76% | 4,524 | 51.56% | 8,774 |
Bullitt | 26,210 | 72.67% | 8,255 | 22.89% | 1,604 | 4.44% | 17,955 | 49.78% | 36,069 |
Butler | 4,428 | 79.41% | 947 | 16.98% | 201 | 3.61% | 3,481 | 62.43% | 5,576 |
Caldwell | 4,507 | 75.43% | 1,260 | 21.09% | 208 | 3.48% | 3,247 | 54.34% | 5,975 |
Calloway | 10,367 | 64.60% | 4,749 | 29.59% | 933 | 5.81% | 5,618 | 35.01% | 16,049 |
Campbell | 25,050 | 58.93% | 14,658 | 34.48% | 2,802 | 6.59% | 10,392 | 24.45% | 42,510 |
Carlisle | 2,094 | 80.51% | 432 | 16.61% | 75 | 2.88% | 1,662 | 63.90% | 2,601 |
Carroll | 2,588 | 67.13% | 1,106 | 28.69% | 161 | 4.18% | 1,482 | 38.44% | 3,855 |
Carter | 7,587 | 73.82% | 2,276 | 22.14% | 415 | 4.04% | 5,311 | 51.68% | 10,278 |
Casey | 5,482 | 85.14% | 767 | 11.91% | 190 | 2.95% | 4,715 | 73.23% | 6,439 |
Christian | 14,108 | 63.89% | 7,188 | 32.55% | 787 | 3.56% | 6,920 | 31.34% | 22,083 |
Clark | 10,710 | 66.09% | 4,706 | 29.04% | 789 | 4.87% | 6,004 | 37.05% | 16,205 |
Clay | 5,861 | 86.61% | 752 | 11.11% | 154 | 2.28% | 5,109 | 75.50% | 6,767 |
Clinton | 3,809 | 85.37% | 547 | 12.26% | 106 | 2.37% | 3,262 | 73.11% | 4,462 |
Crittenden | 3,290 | 81.50% | 617 | 15.28% | 130 | 3.22% | 2,673 | 66.22% | 4,037 |
Cumberland | 2,502 | 81.60% | 459 | 14.97% | 105 | 3.43% | 2,043 | 66.63% | 3,066 |
Daviess | 28,907 | 63.11% | 14,163 | 30.92% | 2,737 | 5.97% | 14,744 | 32.19% | 45,807 |
Edmonson | 4,135 | 78.85% | 979 | 18.67% | 130 | 2.48% | 3,156 | 60.18% | 5,244 |
Elliott | 2,000 | 70.05% | 740 | 25.92% | 115 | 4.03% | 1,260 | 44.13% | 2,855 |
Estill | 4,236 | 76.39% | 1,108 | 19.98% | 201 | 3.63% | 3,128 | 56.41% | 5,545 |
Fayette | 56,894 | 41.74% | 69,778 | 51.19% | 9,643 | 7.07% | -12,884 | -9.45% | 136,315 |
Fleming | 4,722 | 75.43% | 1,348 | 21.53% | 190 | 3.04% | 3,374 | 53.90% | 6,260 |
Floyd | 11,993 | 72.51% | 4,015 | 24.27% | 532 | 3.22% | 7,978 | 48.24% | 16,540 |
Franklin | 11,819 | 49.52% | 10,717 | 44.91% | 1,329 | 5.57% | 1,102 | 4.61% | 23,865 |
Fulton | 1,549 | 65.03% | 774 | 32.49% | 59 | 2.48% | 775 | 32.54% | 2,382 |
Gallatin | 2,443 | 73.19% | 749 | 22.44% | 146 | 4.37% | 1,694 | 50.75% | 3,338 |
Garrard | 5,904 | 77.45% | 1,453 | 19.06% | 266 | 3.49% | 4,451 | 58.39% | 7,623 |
Grant | 7,268 | 76.03% | 1,910 | 19.98% | 381 | 3.99% | 5,358 | 56.05% | 9,559 |
Graves | 12,671 | 76.30% | 3,308 | 19.92% | 627 | 3.78% | 9,363 | 56.38% | 16,606 |
Grayson | 8,219 | 77.71% | 1,959 | 18.52% | 398 | 3.77% | 6,260 | 59.19% | 10,576 |
Green | 4,372 | 81.98% | 832 | 15.60% | 129 | 2.42% | 3,540 | 66.38% | 5,333 |
Greenup | 11,546 | 70.93% | 4,146 | 25.47% | 585 | 3.60% | 7,400 | 45.46% | 16,277 |
Hancock | 2,788 | 64.91% | 1,244 | 28.96% | 263 | 6.13% | 1,544 | 35.95% | 4,295 |
Hardin | 26,971 | 62.50% | 13,944 | 32.31% | 2,241 | 5.19% | 13,027 | 30.19% | 43,156 |
Harlan | 9,129 | 84.87% | 1,372 | 12.75% | 256 | 2.38% | 7,757 | 72.12% | 10,757 |
Harrison | 5,435 | 69.85% | 2,031 | 26.10% | 315 | 4.05% | 3,404 | 43.75% | 7,781 |
Hart | 5,320 | 73.24% | 1,730 | 23.82% | 214 | 2.94% | 3,590 | 49.42% | 7,264 |
Henderson | 12,159 | 61.69% | 6,707 | 34.03% | 844 | 4.28% | 5,452 | 27.66% | 19,710 |
Henry | 4,944 | 69.16% | 1,828 | 25.57% | 377 | 5.27% | 3,116 | 43.59% | 7,149 |
Hickman | 1,657 | 76.82% | 449 | 20.82% | 51 | 2.36% | 1,208 | 56.00% | 2,157 |
Hopkins | 15,277 | 75.09% | 4,310 | 21.18% | 758 | 3.73% | 10,967 | 53.91% | 20,345 |
Jackson | 4,889 | 88.87% | 482 | 8.76% | 130 | 2.37% | 4,407 | 80.11% | 5,501 |
Jefferson | 143,768 | 40.72% | 190,836 | 54.05% | 18,496 | 5.23% | -47,068 | -13.33% | 353,100 |
Jessamine | 15,474 | 66.34% | 6,144 | 26.34% | 1,708 | 7.32% | 9,330 | 40.00% | 23,326 |
Johnson | 8,043 | 84.03% | 1,250 | 13.06% | 279 | 2.91% | 6,793 | 70.97% | 9,572 |
Kenton | 42,958 | 59.67% | 24,214 | 33.63% | 4,826 | 6.70% | 18,744 | 26.04% | 71,998 |
Knott | 4,357 | 75.60% | 1,245 | 21.60% | 161 | 2.80% | 3,112 | 54.00% | 5,763 |
Knox | 9,885 | 82.29% | 1,761 | 14.66% | 366 | 3.05% | 8,124 | 67.63% | 12,012 |
LaRue | 4,799 | 75.37% | 1,278 | 20.07% | 290 | 4.56% | 3,521 | 55.30% | 6,367 |
Laurel | 20,592 | 82.92% | 3,440 | 13.85% | 801 | 3.23% | 17,152 | 69.07% | 24,833 |
Lawrence | 4,816 | 79.71% | 1,045 | 17.30% | 181 | 2.99% | 3,771 | 62.41% | 6,042 |
Lee | 2,151 | 80.65% | 444 | 16.65% | 72 | 2.70% | 1,707 | 64.00% | 2,667 |
Leslie | 4,015 | 89.38% | 400 | 8.90% | 74 | 1.72% | 3,615 | 80.48% | 4,492 |
Letcher | 7,293 | 79.84% | 1,542 | 16.88% | 299 | 3.28% | 5,751 | 62.96% | 9,134 |
Lewis | 4,363 | 82.35% | 785 | 14.82% | 150 | 2.83% | 3,578 | 67.53% | 5,298 |
Lincoln | 7,338 | 76.75% | 1,865 | 19.51% | 358 | 3.74% | 5,473 | 57.24% | 9,561 |
Livingston | 3,570 | 76.86% | 887 | 19.10% | 188 | 4.04% | 2,683 | 57.76% | 4,645 |
Logan | 7,778 | 71.36% | 2,755 | 25.28% | 366 | 3.36% | 5,023 | 46.08% | 10,899 |
Lyon | 2,789 | 70.39% | 1,045 | 26.38% | 128 | 3.23% | 1,744 | 44.01% | 3,962 |
McCracken | 20,774 | 66.36% | 9,134 | 29.18% | 1,399 | 4.46% | 11,640 | 37.18% | 31,307 |
McCreary | 5,012 | 86.77% | 664 | 11.50% | 100 | 1.73% | 4,348 | 75.27% | 5,776 |
McLean | 3,381 | 74.05% | 988 | 21.64% | 197 | 4.31% | 2,393 | 52.41% | 4,566 |
Madison | 23,431 | 62.70% | 11,793 | 31.56% | 2,147 | 5.74% | 11,638 | 31.14% | 37,371 |
Magoffin | 3,824 | 74.75% | 1,172 | 22.91% | 120 | 2.34% | 2,652 | 51.84% | 5,116 |
Marion | 5,122 | 63.15% | 2,679 | 33.03% | 310 | 3.82% | 2,443 | 30.12% | 8,111 |
Marshall | 12,322 | 73.79% | 3,672 | 21.99% | 704 | 4.22% | 8,650 | 51.80% | 16,698 |
Martin | 3,503 | 88.62% | 363 | 9.18% | 87 | 2.20% | 3,140 | 79.44% | 3,953 |
Mason | 4,944 | 68.49% | 1,970 | 27.29% | 305 | 4.22% | 2,974 | 41.20% | 7,219 |
Meade | 8,660 | 70.80% | 3,026 | 24.74% | 545 | 4.46% | 5,634 | 46.06% | 12,231 |
Menifee | 2,010 | 72.33% | 700 | 25.19% | 69 | 2.48% | 1,310 | 47.14% | 2,779 |
Mercer | 7,740 | 73.12% | 2,395 | 22.63% | 450 | 4.25% | 5,345 | 50.49% | 10,585 |
Metcalfe | 3,491 | 75.56% | 976 | 21.13% | 153 | 3.31% | 2,515 | 54.43% | 4,620 |
Monroe | 4,278 | 85.71% | 601 | 12.04% | 112 | 2.25% | 3,677 | 73.67% | 4,991 |
Montgomery | 7,856 | 68.60% | 3,158 | 27.58% | 438 | 3.82% | 4,698 | 41.02% | 11,452 |
Morgan | 3,628 | 75.98% | 1,006 | 21.07% | 141 | 2.95% | 2,622 | 54.91% | 4,775 |
Muhlenberg | 9,393 | 71.92% | 3,272 | 25.05% | 395 | 3.03% | 6,121 | 46.87% | 13,060 |
Nelson | 13,431 | 64.57% | 6,434 | 30.93% | 937 | 4.50% | 6,997 | 33.64% | 20,802 |
Nicholas | 1,957 | 68.88% | 787 | 27.70% | 97 | 3.42% | 1,170 | 41.18% | 2,841 |
Ohio | 7,942 | 76.38% | 2,080 | 20.00% | 376 | 3.62% | 5,862 | 56.38% | 10,398 |
Oldham | 20,469 | 62.30% | 10,268 | 31.25% | 2,116 | 6.45% | 10,201 | 31.05% | 32,853 |
Owen | 3,745 | 74.89% | 1,062 | 21.24% | 194 | 3.87% | 2,683 | 53.65% | 5,001 |
Owsley | 1,474 | 83.80% | 256 | 14.55% | 29 | 1.65% | 1,218 | 69.25% | 1,759 |
Pendleton | 4,604 | 76.64% | 1,164 | 19.38% | 239 | 3.98% | 3,440 | 57.26% | 6,007 |
Perry | 8,158 | 77.17% | 2,136 | 20.20% | 278 | 2.63% | 6,022 | 56.97% | 10,572 |
Pike | 19,747 | 80.06% | 4,280 | 17.35% | 638 | 2.59% | 15,467 | 62.71% | 24,665 |
Powell | 3,513 | 70.87% | 1,272 | 25.66% | 172 | 3.47% | 2,241 | 45.21% | 4,957 |
Pulaski | 22,902 | 81.67% | 4,208 | 15.01% | 931 | 3.32% | 18,694 | 66.66% | 28,041 |
Robertson | 759 | 74.93% | 222 | 21.92% | 32 | 3.15% | 537 | 53.01% | 1,013 |
Rockcastle | 5,609 | 83.83% | 915 | 13.68% | 167 | 2.49% | 4,694 | 70.15% | 6,691 |
Rowan | 5,174 | 58.48% | 3,295 | 37.24% | 379 | 4.28% | 1,879 | 21.24% | 8,848 |
Russell | 6,863 | 83.96% | 1,093 | 13.37% | 218 | 2.67% | 5,770 | 70.59% | 8,174 |
Scott | 15,052 | 62.20% | 7,715 | 31.88% | 1,433 | 5.92% | 7,337 | 30.32% | 24,200 |
Shelby | 13,196 | 64.12% | 6,276 | 30.50% | 1,108 | 5.38% | 6,920 | 33.62% | 20,580 |
Simpson | 5,077 | 67.41% | 2,144 | 28.47% | 310 | 4.12% | 2,933 | 38.94% | 7,531 |
Spencer | 7,196 | 75.63% | 1,921 | 20.19% | 398 | 4.18% | 5,275 | 55.44% | 9,515 |
Taylor | 8,320 | 73.59% | 2,553 | 22.58% | 433 | 3.83% | 5,767 | 51.01% | 11,306 |
Todd | 3,612 | 75.58% | 1,042 | 21.80% | 125 | 2.62% | 2,570 | 53.78% | 4,779 |
Trigg | 4,931 | 73.04% | 1,587 | 23.51% | 233 | 3.45% | 3,344 | 49.53% | 6,751 |
Trimble | 2,771 | 72.96% | 879 | 23.14% | 148 | 3.90% | 1,892 | 49.82% | 3,798 |
Union | 4,701 | 75.69% | 1,331 | 21.43% | 179 | 2.88% | 3,370 | 54.26% | 6,211 |
Warren | 28,673 | 59.18% | 16,966 | 35.01% | 2,815 | 5.81% | 11,707 | 24.17% | 48,454 |
Washington | 4,013 | 71.20% | 1,420 | 25.20% | 203 | 3.60% | 2,593 | 46.00% | 5,636 |
Wayne | 6,371 | 79.72% | 1,431 | 17.91% | 190 | 2.37% | 4,940 | 61.81% | 7,992 |
Webster | 4,397 | 75.75% | 1,240 | 21.36% | 168 | 2.89% | 3,157 | 54.39% | 5,805 |
Whitley | 11,312 | 82.13% | 2,067 | 15.01% | 395 | 2.86% | 9,245 | 67.12% | 13,774 |
Wolfe | 1,804 | 68.46% | 753 | 28.58% | 78 | 2.96% | 1,051 | 39.88% | 2,635 |
Woodford | 7,697 | 56.75% | 4,958 | 36.56% | 908 | 6.69% | 2,739 | 20.19% | 13,563 |
Totals | 1,202,971 | 62.52% | 628,854 | 32.68% | 92,325 | 4.80% | 574,117 | 29.84% | 1,924,150 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Elliot (largest city: Sandy Hook)
- Franklin (largest city: Frankfort)
By congressional district
Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.
District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 72% | 24% | Ed Whitfield |
James Comer | |||
2nd | 68% | 28% | Brett Guthrie |
3rd | 40% | 55% | John Yarmuth |
4th | 65% | 29% | Thomas Massie |
5th | 80% | 18% | Hal Rogers |
6th | 55% | 39% | Andy Barr |
See also
- Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
- Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
Notes
References
- ^ Voter Turnout by Age and Sex Archived July 1, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- ^ "Presidential General Election Results Comparison - Kentucky". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved October 19, 2021.
- ^ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
- ^ "Kentucky caucus moves forward without Rand Paul | News". Richmondregister.com. February 14, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ Kentucky Secretary of State
- ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Federal Election Commission
External links
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